BrianShaw
Member
... not again...
... not again...
... not again...
The profit in vinyl is actually phenomenal. I've got a lot of friends in the music industry. A few years ago there was only one company in North America who pressed vinyl. They were booked up months, if not a year in advance, so you typically had to reserve a spot and pay for it before you even recorded the album, or be okay with the vinyl release happening about a year after the digital release. Everyone wanted their album pressed into vinyl, but few could afford it.Let's put things back into proper perspective by examining the bar chart here:
https://www.spin.com/2014/05/did-vinyl-really-die-in-the-90s-death-resurgence-sales/
While nothing to sneeze at, even if 2018 sees vinyl sales hit 15 or even 20 million, this is a far cry from the 300M+ of 1979-1980! Still, it seems like vinyl can be a good business to be in, if a company can turn a decent profit at those volumes.
Are fountain pens, typewriters and vinyl records making a comeback?
The profit in vinyl is actually phenomenal. I've got a lot of friends in the music industry. A few years ago there was only one company in North America who pressed vinyl. They were booked up months, if not a year in advance, so you typically had to reserve a spot and pay for it before you even recorded the album, or be okay with the vinyl release happening about a year after the digital release. Everyone wanted their album pressed into vinyl, but few could afford it.
Savvy business people saw an underserved market and now there are a ton of vinyl pressing companies in North America, with new one's opening up all of the time. Google Vinyl pressing and you'll see a ton of companies now. One will even press your ashes into a record, for reasons I can't imagine. Now the problem for vinyl manufacturers is finding the equipment necessary to do the work and people who know how to run and maintain them. Finding clients is easy. It may not last forever, and I'm sure they won't all reap huge profits, but for some at least, it has been very profitable business as of late.
That's same business model for film. It won't ever become the only means of photography again. That genie is out of the bottle. But there's still a huge market out there with excellent profitability potential for the companies that want to scale their business according to current market share. It makes no sense to try to produce film in the volume that it was made in in the 1980's. But it makes lot of sense to produce film in smaller volumes, as the film market is growing rapidly.
Small vinyl operators arose because demand outstripped production capacity. We do not have that problem with film. Quite the opposite. Production capacity vastly outstrips demand.
The business lessons that can be taken from the vinyl record industry is that small scale production recovery is completely possible to achieve after the near complete collapse of a far larger industry that was scaled for far greater volumes.
The industry is unlikely to be well served by someone attempting to rebuild Kodak's Building 29 in the middle of a large city like Rochester, and attempting to move dozens of tractor trailers of product in and out every week.
Now a few friends set up in a pole barn on $1000 worth of land in the backwoods of Montana and running an online mail order direct-to-customer film production on a machine that can make a pallet or two a week? If someone can develop a working setup at that scale, then the photographic film industry will have a far more stable leg to stand on long term.
The difference is that the unit of production for vinyl is the record press, which is a small, stand alone hydraulic device operated by one person. There were never any huge machines cranking out millions of records. The way you increase vinyl capacity is to simply increase the number of record presses. Small production facilities have a few record presses. Larger production facilities have more. Quality Record Pressings, the premier audiophile facility, has something like five presses. In 2016, the largest record producer, United Record Pressing, responsible for 40% of US vinyl output, had 39 presses. I toured its facility and it was tiny. No new record presses have been manufactured since the early 1980s, but new vinyl entrants could still acquire one or more mothballed presses and refurbish them. Film is different. Film is made on huge machines run by production crews by a few big players. There are no small film production machines which can be acquired and refurbished. (Film Ferrania and Adox are the exceptions, and they are refurbishing unique machines from defunct large manufacturers that were used for test runs). Small film production machines would have to be made from scratch or large machines have to be modified, all of which would require large infusions of capital. Neither are readily available to third parties. And given the absolute demand, it doesn't make much sense to make the necessary investments.The business lessons that can be taken from the vinyl record industry is that small scale production recovery is completely possible to achieve after the near complete collapse of a far larger industry that was scaled for far greater volumes
Didn't Kodak just do that? I'm pretty sure I remember reading that Kodak just bought some all new equipment for shorter production runs. And I think I remember reading that they've been using the new machines to test out the upcoming Ektachrome and the to make the reintroduced TMax 3200.The difference is that the unit of production for vinyl is the record press, which is a small hydrolic device operated by one person. The way you increase capacity is to increase the number of record presses. Small production facilities have a few record presses. Larger production facilities have more. In 2016, the largest record producer, United Record Pressing, had about 40 presses. (I toured its facility and it was tiny.) No new record presses have been manufactured since the early 1980s, but ew vinyl entrants could still acquire one or more mothballed presses and refurbish them. Film is different. Film is made on huge machines run by production crews by a few big players. There are no small film production machines which can be acquired and refurbished. (Film Ferrania and Adox are the exceptions, and they are refurbishing unique machines that were used for test runs). Small film production machines would have to be made from scratch or large machines have to be modified, all of which would require large infusions of capital. Given the absolute demand, it doesn't make much sense.
What is the probability that a small-scale working setup could be developed? What would motivate someone to try, in a market where film is still readily available? How long would it take just to get through the environmental impact paperwork?
No new record presses have been manufactured since the early 1980s, but new vinyl entrants could still acquire one or more mothballed presses and refurbish them.
Possibly now. I'd be interested to know their identities. I have been away from the audiophile industry since 2016, devoting all my time to photography.There's at least one Canadian and one German company making new presses. That's the best evidence that vinyl is "back".
My understanding is that both P3200 and Ektachome are being manufactured on the big machines in Bldg. 38 running at a fraction of capacity.Didn't Kodak just do that? I'm pretty sure I remember reading that Kodak just bought some all new equipment for shorter production runs. And I think I remember reading that they've been using the new machines to test out the upcoming Ektachrome and the to make the reintroduced TMax 3200.
There is plenty of tech now in the bio-printing industry that I think could be easily modified to allow for uniform coating of emulsions onto various substrates. I think this will drive a new small batch revolution in coating small runs with custom emulsions. So, instead of the printer laying down ink or cells, you lay down emulsion. The liquid would settle in a uniform way, and you could do multiple coatings as well. It could be done in a small dark clean room. As the sheets exit the emulsion printer they roll through a drying process and are stacked. Maybe the future is Ilford, Kodak, Fuji, selling emulsion cartridges to these small batch producers. If I had enough time, energy and engineering know how I'd probably fire up a kickstarter to try to build an emulsion 'printer'.
digital is not that inexpensive shot for shot if you consider the entire expenses: camera, computer, software and printing; easily$3/shot and constantly updating it all.Do you have any evidence for that?
Digital gear is relatively inexpensive shot for shot. If you bought the latest £2k camera every couple of years and traded in your old model, it would still be less expensive than shooting film.
That's a different subject. Two things are killing digital camera production, smart phones, and lack of digital camera innovation. Most people would be hard pressed to tell a 2018 digital photograph from a 2008 one under normal conditions. iPhones provide everything non-enthusiasts want from a camera, and make up much of the vlogging market.
What are you comparing? All MILC cameras vs Instax and Polaroid cameras, or the popularity of instant films? A typical MILC runs between x6 to x20 the price of an instant film camera. Instant photography is a growing niche but it hasn't returned to the professional film ranks.
Film is dead to most people, no question. They don't use it and are surprised why anyone else does.
hi jimA few years ago there was only one company in North America who pressed vinyl.
no kidding... not again...
... not again...
maybe ... it depends on what your print methods are .. sometimes the cost of pigments+inks is the thing thatdigital is not that inexpensive shot for shot if you consider the entire expenses: camera, computer, software and printing; easily$3/shot and constantly updating it all.
sounds like you need to go to a store that caters to your needs? buy on amazon &cgo to the stores in my neighborhood and you'll see what's dead or laughed out the store if you ask for film!
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