lxdude
Member
I don't have any prices from 1975, but I have a Modern Photography, November 1982. B+H was selling PX and TX, 135-36, for $2.19. The Consumer Price Index puts that at equivalent to $5.13 today.
I don't have any prices from 1975, but I have a Modern Photography, November 1982. B+H was selling PX and TX, 135-36, for $2.19. The Consumer Price Index puts that at equivalent to $5.13 today.
What, how did this thread get back on topic?
Every digital snap I take amortizes the chattel camera cost cheaper per photo, but with film every shot accumulates cost in development, prints, and, of course, the need for more film. Film cannot win and is becoming scarce resulting in higher prices despite the long-term sunk costs having been paid back decades ago. The obliteration of film photography from the mass market puts the capital situation of the industry in a negative flow position reversing the sunk cost advantages as the plain vanilla operational costs are now the problem: electrical bills, silver prices, petrochemical supply, and so on. There is no economy-of-scale anymore. Film photography is edging closer to a made-to-order model where the real crisis lies in that even that may not work as the number of new film cameras in production is extremely limited.
Actually not. A 60 Megapixel back which is not even full frame for a Hasselblad costs around $50,000US. Then I would have to buy a new computer, RAID disk set up and software like Photo$hop. Or I can put a negative in my crappy scanner at 4,000 dpi and get a 320 Megapixel full frame digital photograph. The mathematical model is invalid. More so for large format. Oh yes, I don't need no stinking batteries!
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Every digital snap I take amortizes the chattel camera cost cheaper per photo, but with film every shot accumulates cost in development, prints, and, of course, the need for more film. Film cannot win and is becoming scarce resulting in higher prices despite the long-term sunk costs having been paid back decades ago.
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I agree partially, and I agree that this is the perceived reason. But, in reality, when people buy a 500,00 camera which, let's say, is going to last 6 years before replacing, that means more than 80 per year. Add to this spare batteries, flash memory cards, external hard-drive for backup, and you see that for the normal user it's around 100 per year. This normal user (not talking about shutterbugs) uses his camera for family gatherings (Christmas, birthdays, and such) and holidays. In a film world, he would not be taking more than 15 or 20 rolls per year (possibly much less, on average). Now with his DSLR he takes more pictures, and edits later, only to satisfy needs that were satisfied by those 15-20 rolls. He will look at the pictures in his monitor, but he will have some of them printed as well, which again adds to the annual cost.
The final cost per year is, for this kind of normal user, quite comparable to film. I suppose most of DSLR sales are to this kind of normal "family" photographers. If that is true, either they are "irrational" purchasers (they perceive an economy where there isn't one) or they prefer digital for other reasons (immediate check of results, easy duplication).
I think both motivations are somehow present in the market. Many people are lured by the theoretical low cost per image, but they actually don't use the camera that much after having bought it.
In response to your affirmation that film "cannot win", I think that in fact film can still position itself as a cost-effective way to take pictures for most casual, family users. And it certainly is competitive for shutterbugs and maniacs like us, for other reasons.
(Film is here to stay).

135 film + processing where I live in the developed world (Canada) in a 2 million person economic catchment area is approaching $29+ tax per 36 exp. roll. Add another $5 for scans at least. This cost can only rise as scarcity takes over.
All drugstore chains and supermarkets in this area no longer have mini-labs, just dry print systems, some outsourced. Only a very minimal amount of film is stocked and some disposables, with no prime retail presence. I have spoken with some agents here and they expect to process no film locally in 3 years even at the distribution level. Across Canada film development through labs will almost exclusively be mail order at CAN$12+ per roll with prints and scans extra, plus postage. Larger urban areas will cling to mini-labs on inertia sales and entrenched communities, but overall the loss is looming and total.
The average snapshooter can buy a $75 P&S digicam and repeatedly try and get the shot by verifying through the rear LCD. There is no risk that he or she did not get the shot both having wasted the $1/frame and the moment. Even dry printing is on the decline as free web services replace viewing patterns. If the camera itself is the mini-lab and the internet (already paid for with a vast array of other functional uses) is the medium, then the added step of processing, printing, and/or scanning is an uneconomic, additional burden making film non-competitive. If you amortize the digital cost vs. film, it is no contest. The digital production system drives costs down to the point where cameras are in our phones, transferable to other phones with no processing intermediary. Film is not cost-effective against that model at all because it never had that functionality.
And as for laziness, I see no difference between digital over-exuberance and shoeboxes. Over-production by the end-user was a goal of Fuji and Kodak as it stimulated sales both for film and mini-labs.
Economically, functionally, and statistically film has no presence in the market here for casual shooters. I do think it is not a stretch to extrapolate for worldwide analogy because film was always a fascinating, early entry into global economics with Kodak in particular being one of the most recognized brands anywhere. Therefore, if film cannot compete in a developed world catchment area, it simply does not compete anywhere. It's disappearance is already nearly total in in the mindshare of the economic and cultural marketplace regardless. There are pretty much no ads nor mainstream discussion of film cameras and technology.
As an economist I have observed other industries face similar fateful dynamics. One that comes to mind is sewing patterns. The scanner, the internet, the PDF, and loose copyright ethics have almost obliterated that industry, which once thrived in an economic zone allowing those of limited means or willing to provide their own sweat equity towards the production of textile products, especially clothing (akin to a darkroom). In this way the self-motivated or those of economic need were able to produce a terrific and contemporary final product often superior to that of a sweatshop, with an element of handicraft and emotional pride. The ability to sew is far more teachable and accessible than the ability to design allowing the pattern industry to leverage the few who can design, applying their unique skills to the masses. The whole lack of ROI for new patterns due to copying has effaced the ability to create new patterns for sale even though the original capital for production and distribution is long since amortized. As a result, the self-help segment of the textiles industry is in steep decline, even as millions of people could benefit from this alternate means of production. The analogy with the film industry is apt, as film also relies on the industrial production of a material: textiles and sewing machines vs. substrate/emulsion and cameras.
The problem for film is that it is unique to photography (for the most part) whereas textiles are a broad necessity and will be produced regardless of how many sewing machines and patterns are in the home economic pipeline. And film depends on cameras whose assembly lines are statistically non-existent. Once the old stock of film cameras succumbs to entropy (watch eBay and Flickr for the data curve to decline), you will soon see film demand rocket downwards even faster than the last 10 years towards complete capitulation, even for specialists like Ilford. This is not inevitable but avoidance will rely on the creation of a different market for film photography, certainly not as a technical and economic competitor to digital photography. The "cost equivalent" argument is lost and the "better than" argument as well. Different arguments, need to be made and placed at the forefront to make the business case. I "see" enough demand, but not the path to leverage it economically. one problem is I keep getting drawn in to the comparative rehashing with digital; another waste of scarce resources. Hah!![]()
I have maintained for a long time that the only viable future for silver imagery is in the arts and crafts world.
Some of life's legitimacy HAS to be solely poetic. Otherwise we would surely starve. - David Lyga
Are all my cameras going to be entirely worthless? Is this like the horse and buggy 100 years ago, with the buggy and horse lasting till now only to carry tourists around Independence Hall (and other niche venues)?
Says Aristophanes: "with its own unique footprint; esoteric and costly, but with elements of alchemy, nostalgia, oddity, experiment, discipline, and handicraft, all idiosyncratic"
Is this like the horse and buggy 100 years ago, with the buggy and horse lasting till now only to carry tourists around Independence Hall (and other niche venues)?
I speak only for myself: For me the film and paper and chemicals are personal. And, intrinsically, that admission is crazy and technically stupid.
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Some of life's legitimacy HAS to be solely poetic. Otherwise we would surely starve. - David Lyga
A number of good points and insight, especially the bit about sewing patterns.[...]
135 film + processing where I live in the developed world (Canada) in a 2 million person economic catchment area is approaching $29+ tax per 36 exp. roll. Add another $5 for scans at least. This cost can only rise as scarcity takes over.
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