Alan, if I understand you correctly, using a stop bath adds 15 seconds (according to Anchell) but in actuality it adds zero if you consider transfer times being the same in water and acid stops. And, including transfer (or dump) times is correct. So this part of your argument goes out.
Also, you must consider the effect of size on uniformity wrt stop or water. Uniformity on one sheet or from process to process may vary.
And, how about the effect of pH 9 tap water vs pH 5 tap water?
PE
Maybe I was unclear in what I understand Anchell to have said. He did not advocate using an acid stop bath for only 15 seconds, but rather that film continues to develop for about 15 seconds when placed in an acid stop bath (depending somewhat on the pH of the acid solution). This is not to say that development continues at the full rate for 15 seconds and then stops abruptly at the end of 15 seconds. That would not be physically realistic. More likely it is a tapering off process that could be characterized by a time constant of about 15 seconds. This would be governed mainly by two processes, one of them (likely the slower process) would be diffusion of developer out of the emulsion. The other (likely much faster) would be the diffusion of hydrogen ions into the emulsion. Actually, it's not quite that simple either. Because of the constraint of charge balance, which is a rather strong constraint, hydrogen ions can't diffuse into the emulsion with dragging along the counter ion (e.g. acetate ion) at a concentration to maintain almost perfect local charge balance, but now we are getting a little too deep into the woods.
The situation with a pure water stop bath would differ in two main ways. First, the tapering off of the development process would be slower, with a characteristic time of more like 30 seconds according to Anchell. The first consequence is actually a result of the second consquence, which is that decreased development time would be dominated by diffusion of developer out of the emulsion, with diffusion of hydrogen ions into the emulsion being relatively less important, or not significant at all, depending on the pH of the water used for a stop bath. (There may be another effect to consider as well, which is the rate of diffusion of the developer's buffer out of the emulsion. That is an additional complication, but does not introduce any new principals into the analysis of the process.) For reference, the EPA recommends that suppliers of municipal drinking water keep the pH within the range of 6.5 to 8.5, so most tap waters are probably within this range. The actual pH value is not too important, as long as it is relatively stable from day to day, and assuming that one has developed the film processing parameters by testing. In any case, early in the process the acid/base balance within the emulsion is likely to be dominated by the residual buffer in the emulsion, along with the inherent buffering power of the gelatin itself. This will tend to partially dampen out any effect of the pH of the wash water.
Regarding evenness of exposure of the emulsion to stop bath (meaning exposing all of the surface of the film to the stop bath at the same time) that is obviously one condition for even development. However, it should affect an acid stop bath to the same extent as it affects a pure water stop bath. Some thought experiments should establish this on a theoretical basis, but for sake of brevity of an already-too-long post I won't attempt to present an analysis here.
Most of what I posted above is either theoretical or is based on information provided by others (mainly Anchell). The ultimate arbiter would be an experimental measurement, which I have not done. However (to break my comment about the post already being too long) a guy named Jay deFehr has done the experiments. I will quote what he reported in a post at another forum. I think he explains this more clearly than I can.
"Have you ever tried to measure the difference between using a stop bath and using plain water? I've tried, but could never measure a difference. Even if there was a measurable difference between using a stop bath and using plan water, it's irrelevant. What matters is consistency. Even if using a plain water rinse instead of an acid stop prolonged development by a few seconds, it would be the same few seconds for every roll, and have absolutely no effect on one's control of one's process. "
In another post in the same discussion thread Jay takes on another disputation which relates to the first. Here is what he said.
"I like to test these kinds of assumptions and urban myths, or used to like to. I formulated a developer that developed most films to normal contrast in about 45-60 seconds to test the claim that developing times under five minutes are too short for even development. I have to say, I knew going in this claim is false, because of rapid film processors used in the motion picture industry, but I wanted to show it was also false for home darkroom equipment and techniques. At the same time, I tested the claims about stop bath vs water rinse. These tests were done with as much precision as I could muster in my home darkroom. I used a sensitometer to make the exposures, processed in an automated film processor, and read the resulting step wedges with a densitometer. Even under these extreme conditions, the difference between using an acid stop and plain water was trivial. "