The response will probably be something like "that's what I meant all along". Yeah sure. Among the other statements made earlier: The real speeds of the TMax films are lower than their ISO ratings (as opposed to other films), etc.
Not so predictable.
My response is that people like Stephen Benskin and Bill Burk accept that there are variations between personal EI's and the box ISO speeds. As Bill points out a slight change in development leads to a significant drop in speed.
When Kodak released Tmax 100 & 400 they were fully aware that at box ISO shadow detail could be lacking, they went so far as to announce from the outset that they were introducing new developers that would significantly improve this, Tmax developer was the first and then Xtol. You use the word conspiracy but that would mean hiding facts away from the public which Kodak never did, they were quite open about it, there was no secrecy..
Tmax 100 & 400 are great films, that's why I used them for about 20 years, however they need more careful controls than conventional films because they are far more responsive to slight variations in development times, temperature, agitation etc than conventional films like Tri-X, FP5, HP5 etc.
On the subject of ZS EIs differing from ISO speeds by predictable amounts, I'd have to ask why you think that would/should not be the case. If one compares the speed measurement criteria of the two methods, it makes sense there should be a relatively constant difference between the ISO speed and ZS EI.
On more than one occasion I've pointed out to you that there's no predictable differences between Zone system EI's and box ISO speeds, in theory you might expect a correlation between the two but it doesn't exist.
The answer is very simple, despite there being a current ISO standard not all films have been tested the same way by the manufacturers to determine box ISO.. Agfa always used the DIN methodology which was also part of the ISO standard when their films were released. EFKE probably used the DIN method as well but put the Tungsten ISO on the boxes rather than the higher Daylight ISO. Kodak use the ASA standard which was changed to allow the manufacturers to choose what developer they used for their tests. That in itself introduces a significant variable factor.
Ian





