Quick update: I just developed another roll of the same film (HP5+) shot with a different camera and the same thing happened - some sort of fogging of the leader up to and including the first frame. All other frames look ok, as far as I can tell (the film is still hanging to dry).
One thing I didn't mention earlier in this thread: I don't fully rewind the film into the cassette but I leave the leader out so that I can trim the corners in daylight before loading it onto the reel. I also prefer to load the reel directly from the cassette rather than opening the cassette and taking the film roll out in the changing bag. One thing that
@250swb suggested to me on another forum is that this could lead to light piping. I thought that was pretty rare and only affected films with a polyester base. Also, as soon as I unload the film from the camera, I put it right into the black opaque canister that the film comes in, so the film cassette is not exposed to light with the leader sticking out for more than a few seconds. I've been doing this same thing for quite a while now and have never had this issue crop up.
I'll guess I'll shoot a roll of a different film and see if this is somehow related to the batch of HP5 I'm using.
I guess the good news is there doesn't appear to be anything wrong with my M2.