The price of film right now is low precisely because of over-capacity. That's it. Kodak and Fuji can still order in bulk, but Kodak's now got its credit lines tied. Ilford cannot raise prices against Kodak with Kodak sitting on a mothballed super-coater machine. It's a race to the bottom as Kodak revenues demonstrate. With less customers and declining revenues they should all be charging more to make up the difference
But they are not, so what is your point? The laws of economics you espouse are being violated!!! Please send an urgent memo to all the film manufactures and let them know that they are doing a disservice. The emperors have no clothes, yikes
shhhhh, they might hear you!!
If the overcapacity gets clipped, and prices rise to mach the lower demand, are you willing to pay 2xpints/roll what you are paying now for a lesser quality product?
Yawn, I can get film for peanuts now, why should I bother worrying about that sky is falling scenario (say $4 to $8, really not worth my time?), we are not talking root canals or indoor plumbing here
only a mere expendable, why bother the scare tactics to us all? I will evaluate my use/costs of film as I see fit based on my own p/l. You seem to be attempting to enlighten us about what everyone already knows, basics of supply/demand, that you even contend is not operating as your models/teaching/experience predict.
I hear one of the European manufacturers has repeated quality issues.
Oh noooooo, thats it, I quit!!! Nothing good here to look forward to, all my film cameras and film have been listed on the bay, just went to the local electronics store and got me a digi P&S so I wont have to ever worry about quality issues and mere cost increases of film because it seems you are saying only film is subject to such horrid concerns and the cost of shooting film seems to be a grave risk! Yikes!
[Film]Prices are relatively low but demand is still falling. Markets are supposed to work the other way around.
But they are not maybe there is something else going on? Is it me or is Freestyle growing, how many staff did they have 10 years ago, what about now, that I dont know, but it appears to me that they are growing? Is Ilford growing out of restructuring? Is Formulary growing seems to me that they are? Is Lomo growing (yikes I said it, toy camera! Oh no, horrid)? Does Leica still sell M7s? Doesnt B&H have 17 new model cameras in stock at present, some high end, some starter cameras? Go to ebay, search the Catagory 'Cameras & Photo', then narrow to 'Film Cameras', then click on Show Only 'Completed listings', then sort by highest price first. There are a fair amt of non-collector camera that fetch $2K, does someone who pays $2K for a camera really care about film going from $4 to $8 in your hypothetical? What does ADOX say on their homepage, Our goal is to keep a full range of photochemical products in a small scale manufacturing process allive. In 2009 we opened up the "worlds smallest photochemical factory" in Bad Saarow. ADOX Fotowerke GmbH is working under low automatisation with a large degreee of manual work.
This enables us to be very flexible and manufacture many different types of films and papers without much overhead and fixed costs. Our workflow today is not far away form the original ADOX Dr. C. Schleussner Fotowerke which also used similar machines in their times, but we are now much smaller. Even after the "digital revolution" ADOX still stands strong for a comprehensive range of classic photographic products.
I think everyone in film manufacturing understand the lean and just in time nature, I dont see oversupply of film in the markets that artificially keep costs low, heck film isnt sold anywhere but online (in most markets) and I just bought some Ilford and Kodak from Amazon and their expiry dates were (Kodak 12/2013, Ilford 2/2016). If there was oversupply they would be say sometime in 2012? There might be oversupply in some mom/pop shops, but most analog photogs pretty much buy online, the delivery model changed but the demand is still there (maybe not the same as back then, but there is a demand that will seek its own level).
I have a question for you, you seem to be promoting all take a serious reflection about how much analog photography is worth to himself/herself, what does it mean to you? If it goes to say $200 a box of paper instead of $100, are you out? You seem to be considering getting out based on your tone, what are you going to do?