Don't worry... smartphones will be as archaic and useless as flash powder in a decade or so. The consumer electronics industry survives by
making everything you want today obsolete tomorrow...
Instead of wearing some apparatus on the ear, the future 'social media consumer' will wear a 'trend setting' contraption on the eyes (like glasses) that will allow 'image capture' at the blink of an eye and also offer full-time internet browsing.
The introduction of digital cameras meant the start of new technology, and the engineers and marketing people at the time could probably not envision what the technology would eventually bring.
As one of the engineers working on the first digital projects at Kodak we understood that photographers wanted immediacy - we saw the growth in minilabs with 1 hour service. That was a major driving force in our work.
We also knew that photographers like convenient, easy to carry cameras they could take with them anywhere - we saw the popularity of the 110 and Disc cameras. The initial technology didn't make such cameras possible at that time.
The last line is so ironic
I didn't mean in terms of what the technology would be capable of. 'Smaller' is usually just a matter of time. I meant more what it would do to the camera market as a whole. First a virtual explosion, and now a bit of an implosion where we see news about camera phones eating into the traditional share of dedicated cameras, bit by bit, kind of like digital cameras did to film.
If there is any surprise (at least for me), it is the speed that internet sharing took off.
You're pulling our leg. Algore invented it all by himself.Funny, but back in 1984-88, when I was helping Al Gore invent the internet, I saw none of this coming. Too busy writing code, I guess. Or too dumb.
You're pulling our leg. Algore invented it all by himself.
And that's why the whole dang thing is made up of software Al-Gore-ithms.
Ken
I've got a buddy who calls me up and talks my ear off for an hour about how his digital camera actually records the atoms that make up the molecules in a picture. Like I care. Thinking of changing my number. Wonder if it annoys him when I tell him a cell phone can do that too. And I don't even have a cell phone and don't want one. My Dad offered to sign me up and pay for the service on one. No thanks. People with cellphones come off like they have the world by the tail. I don't even want to talk to you if you are on one, and don't want to see any picture you took with one. Digital schmgiital.
Do you know how to cultivate a field with a horse and wooden plow?
Don't need to. I'll bet there's an app for that.
Ken
I don't think any of us have been surprised how things developed. Small cameras were in play from the start. See the 1996 Nikon Coolpix 100 info at http://www.nikonweb.com/coolpix100/ Nikon had a camera like that that even had an LCD back that could be written on with a stylus.
It the old "the best camera is the one you have with you when a photo opportunity develops" thing. I used to always carry an Olympus Stylus XA with me; now I carry an Apple iPod touch. (The touch camera isn't as good as an iPhone, but it's plenty good for casual shooting.)
If there is any surprise (at least for me), it is the speed that internet sharing took off.
If companies were aware of the market trends, why do we see traditional camera manufacturers in trouble, and no preemptive action to capitalize on the current situation?
Because they are "caught between a rock and a hard place". What choices do they have? Try to enter the smartphone marketplace? Good luck to that.
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