Aggie said:
Are you turning this into another thread where you are going to second guess everything and say that J&C is crazy? That has already happened in another thread. The name of that thread is "Wonderful News" No one but John of J&C knows what is going on, that prompts him to take this bold step. He has his money on the line, and he must being a very smart man know what he is doing. For anyone else to sit back without the facts behind it all, to speculate is again just pure uninformed speculation. Being negative also has been a big factor in killing off many of our products. It's about time we got enthusiastic about a possible new product. After all we have been crying about the demise of many of our films, yet when a new one comes along, now we are saying it is too much that we already have enough? Give me a break and let John do his thing. It is his money and his reputation. He is smart enough to know the market better than we do.
Ouch! Grumpy today, are we? ;-)
I haven't said that J and C is crazy, and have never said so before. They do what they do well. I'm just being realistic here. It's no secret that the film business is difficult these day -- that is not being negative that is just stating fact. It is also fact that there is a lot of excess capacity in film plants around the world -- and that we can expect that excess capacity to increase. A reasonable, objective analysis of the business would suggest that J and C could probably get virtually anything they need from existing suppliers without a very risk investment in owning and operating a production facility. It is also fairly obvious to anyone that running a production facility is quite a different animal to running a retail outlet for film supplies. In my opinion, investment in a film production facility is both a risky and costly undertaking even if someone gives them a facility for free -- and particularly so for anyone without experience in owning and operating such a facility. My concern is about having J and C around for the long term, and taking on unnecessary risks could jeopardize their long term viability -- and then where would we be? I'm not being negative, I'm being realistic. Let's not get worked-up about this and let our romantic visions of our craft to get in the way of reason.
I am also very enthusiastic about the new products they describe -- I am just apprehensive about the risk involved with them producing it themselves (especially when there are other sources available that can do what they want, and probably do it cheaper). It is sustaining the film business and sustaining the availablity of a wide range of products over the long term that is important.
There is a time in the future when it will be necessary to rescue production facilities to preserve a source of supply of product for our markets. That time is not now, and venturing in now is, in my opinon, unwise.
And yes, I could be wrong. There could be information I don't have, and the suituation in the market could indeed be worse than I believe. We want the same thing -- it is clear, however, that we differ on how to assure that over the long term.