The f/1.0 is not a good assumption! That merely identifies the marginal ray angle to the image plane, or the concentration of light per unit area. Outside of a pinhole arrangement with a defined marginal ray, it is not appropriate to think in terms of f/# for a lensless system!
OP, what you’re asking for is a radiometric calculation determined by the geometry of the imaging system including the light source as well as the irradiance at the lensless hole. This will give you the amount of energy falling on the film.
From there, you need to convert the irradiance determined above to an exposure value and know where that value is on the film’s characteristic curve.
It is not an easy problem to wrap your head around, but omce you have then you can solve it.
Look up radiometry and start reading.
. In particular you would be interested in the equations/geometry for a “simple radiometer” setup, which is what you are describing.
-Jason