esanford said:
Ilford is in receivership.
The traditional photographic division of Ilford (not the digital division(s) which are separate entities) are in administration, currently producing materials and looking for a buyer.
esanford said:
They are probably going to drop all of their photographic process materials and focus on digital products...
As the divisions are separate entities, in order to do this that division would have to completely close.
Sure, it's a possibility, but why a probability? It's also a possibility that they may get bought and production (on some level) will continue. Let's not nail down the coffin lid while the occupant is still breathing (albeit with life-support!).
If they
did close, all assets would obviously be sold off. This would include the patents and formalae for their film, paper and chemical products. As they are some of the best around I would imagine that they would be snapped up quite briskly and that 'Lucky Delta 100' (for example) may subsequently make an appearence.
esanford said:
The next best thing is Oriental Seagull. I can't imagine that they will last much longer.
Again, why not? Ilford are having (major) problems for historical reasons and because their business was scaled for a bulk demand which no longer exists. If other suppliers have scaled their businesses correctly then they could easily last as long as they like on quite low demand.
If Ilford do close (I hope it won't happen, but it may) then their 60% of the world market will have to be split amongst the other players. Even allowing for some customers bailing out, that's still a very big increase for all the other suppliers.
The industry is having a bloody awful time of it. Let's not sing it any worse than it is.
We've got the digital camp to do that for us...